| Overall | 12W 5L 1T |
| District | 4W 4L 0T |
| Expected | 12: 1+ 5- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
1 2 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1454 21 Strength Momentum |
1287 61.3(9) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.000 | 898 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1712 | 97% |  |
| 08/26/15 | at La Cueva !! | 0.003 | 1338 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1562 | 61% | |
| 08/29/15 | Del Norte | 0.001 | 823 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1587 | 99% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Cibola | 0.013 | 1381 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1483 | 56% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Eldorado | 0.017 | 1287 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1487 | 67% | |
| 09/11/15 | St. Pius | 0.055 | 1282 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1402 | 75% | |
| 09/15/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.086 | 1287 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1305 | 74% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.129 | 1155 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1321 | 81% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Mayfield | 0.137 | 1123 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1355 | 84% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Cibola | 0.199 | 1381 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1383 | 56% | |
| 09/26/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.275 | 1461 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1391 | 53% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Cleveland | 0.387 | 1459 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1372 | 45% | |
| 10/06/15 | Atrisco Heritage ! | 0.083 | 924 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1693 | 98% | |
| 10/10/15 | Cibola ? | 0.693 | 1381 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1351 | 64% | |
| 10/12/15 | Santa Fe | 0.110 | 877 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1670 | 99% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.806 | 1461 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1523 | 45% | |
| 10/17/15 | Cleveland | 0.923 | 1459 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1490 | 54% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.485 | 877 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1434 | 98% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Volcano Vista actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1287, while
Volcano Vista's "weighted playing strength" is 1441
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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